All posts tagged interest rates

The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy on Interest Rates

After reading Scott Sumner’s recent paper on the Princeton School of Macroeconomics and Zero Lower Bound, I revisited papers of other Princeton economists.[1]Sumner, Scott, The Princeton School and the Zero Lower Bound (October 2021). Mercatus Center Working Paper, In the second part of the paper, Sumner discussed the Princeton School’s relationship with new schools […]

IS-LM is not a useful model

I have to admit that I have rarely used the IS-LM model since I became interested in economics. Instead, I find the AD-AS model much more useful. Of course, this does not mean that there is a major theoretical flaw in the IS-LM model. Rather, I think that the inferences that economists make by looking […]

Can overshooting also cause recession?

In recent years, the Fed predicted inflation would be below the target. For a while, inflation remained below 2%. It has risen above 2% this year, and it looks like it will stay around for a while. Actually, this situation itself is not a problem. Last summer, the Fed switched to “average inflation targeting,” which […]

Are you worried about inflation? Don’t be

Last summer, the Fed switched to “average inflation targeting.” The Fed’s main goal is to ensure that the PCE inflation will average around 2% over the long term and that future overshoots will compensate for any short-term discrepancies. Although a starting point is not specified, we can assume that January 2020 is the beginning. Therefore, according […]